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DETROIT — Ford Motor is announcing first-quarter earnings after the markets close Wednesday. The automaker's 2024 guidance released in February included adjusted earnings before interest and taxes, or EBIT, of between $10 billion and $12 billion; adjusted free cash flow of $6 billion to $7 billion; and capital spending of $8 billion to $9.5 billion. There is less consensus on Wall Street around Ford's performance than there was for its crosstown rival General Motors , which on Tuesday reported strong first-quarter results and raised its full-year guidance. Ford is Morgan Stanley's "top pick," but others on Wall Street are less bullish on the company. Ford has faced years of inflated warranty costs, including $1.9 billion in 2023, which have affected its earnings.
Persons: Ford's, Ford, Morgan Stanley's, Joseph Spak, Jim Farley's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: New York, DETROIT, Motors, UBS
He also hiked his price target to $92 from $59, suggesting shares rallying 48.3% from where they closed on Tuesday. Analyst Jessica Reif Ehrlich raised her price target to $370 from $315, suggesting 22% upside from Tuesday's close. — Hakyung Kim 6:04 a.m.: Citi raises price target on Amazon Amazon is becoming a more profitable organization, according to Citi. The price target increase comes on the heels of Amazon's new grocery delivery subscription launch. He cited increased operating income projections amid strong top-line trends for his price target increase.
Persons: Tesla, Rob Sanderson, Sanderson, Forrest Li, Hakyung Kim, Jessica Reif Ehrlich, — Hakyung Kim, Ronald Josey, Josey, GenAI, Kim, Goldman Sachs, Mark Delaney, Delaney, Goldman, Joseph Spak, Spak, TSLA, Wells Fargo's Colin Langan, Langan, James Lee, Lee, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Mizuho, Bank of America, Spotify Bank of America, Spotify, Citi, Amazon Web Services, Revenue, UBS, Summer
Tesla shares fell for a seventh straight day, reaching their lowest since January 2023, as further price cuts over the weekend added to mounting concerns heading into the company's first-quarter earnings report Tuesday. Tesla also lowered the price of its premium driver assistance system by one-third. The price cut follows a monthlong free trial that Tesla pushed out to customers throughout North America starting in late March. "Since late 2023, sentiment on Tesla (TSLA) has deteriorated," John Murphy, an analyst at Bank of America, wrote in a note on Monday. WATCH: Tesla stock hits 52-week low ahead of earnings
Persons: Elon Musk, Tesla, John Murphy, Murphy, Joseph Spak, Spak, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: New York Times, Jazz, Lincoln Center, North America, National, Traffic Safety Administration, CNBC, Bank of America, Reuters, UBS, EV, Traders, S3 Partners, Apple Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Europe
The firm initiated coverage on the stock with a buy rating and $60 price target, implying 37.2% upside from where shares closed on Monday. Analyst Mark Lipacis has a target price of $1,160 on shares, suggesting around 35% upside from where shares closed on Monday. However, it kept its $9 price target, which implies upside of just 7.7% over the next 12 months. The stock price now better considers some of our midterm concerns," worte analyst Joseph Spak. Analyst Frank Lee also raised his price target to $225 from $180, implying shares rallying nearly 38% from Monday's close.
Persons: Rivian, Goldman, DraftKings, Goldman Sachs, Ben Miller, Miller, — Hakyung Kim, Joe Ritchie, Ritchie, Nvidia isn't, it's, Mark Lipacis, Lipacis, Hakyung Kim, hasn't, Nicole DeBlase, DeBlase, Joseph Spak, we'd, Fred Imbert, Frank Lee, Lee, Nvidia's GB200 Organizations: CNBC, UBS, HSBC, AMD, US Online Gaming, GE, GE Vernova, General Electric, Nvidia, ISI, Honeywell, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Rivian Automotive Locations: NVDA, Monday's
UBS trimmed its price target on Tesla to $165 from $225, implying shares will hover around current levels for the foreseeable future. Nvidia shares have rallied more than 83% this year, building on 2024's nearly 239% gain as investors continue to bet on artificial intelligence. The firm holds an overweight rating on the stock, with its $820 price target implying about 11% downside from Wednesday's close. — Samantha Subin 5:38 a.m.: UBS trims Tesla price target, cites downside risks to deliveries UBS cut its price target on Tesla to $165 from $225 a share, citing slower electric vehicle demand in the U.S. and Europe, coupled with competition concerns in China. He also raised his price target to $68 from $55, which implies upside of 18% from Tuesday's close.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Christopher Danely, Danely, — Samantha Subin, Joseph Spak, Spak, Wells, outperformance, Richard Ramsden, Ramsden, 2026E, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, UBS, Citigroup, Citi, Nvidia, Devices, Broadcom, AMD, Micron Technology, Micron, NA Locations: U.S, Europe, China, Tuesday's
Goldman Sachs has its eyes on equities that have stronger earnings potential this year than the rest of Wall Street believes. Goldman highlighted to clients stocks where Wall Street analysts are raising their estimates, but not by enough. Goldman believes the rest of Wall Street will need to revise their earnings estimates upward by even more, driving gains for the shares. General Motors beat Wall Street fourth-quarter estimates and forecast stronger-than-expected 2024 earnings in the range of $8.50 to $9.50 per share. Goldman Sachs now predicts the company will earn $9.10 per share, which is roughly 2% higher than Wall Street estimates, it said in a research note.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Stocks, Goldman isn't, Doug Anmuth, FactSet, Joseph Spak Organizations: Wall, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Analysts, JPMorgan, General Motors, GM, UBS, United Auto Workers Locations: Detroit, Pinterest
UBS issued a rare double-downgrade on Rivian , waving the warning flag amid signs of trouble for the battered electric vehicle stock. Analyst Joseph Spak lowered his rating to sell from buy and slashed his price target to $8 from $24. Spak's price target implies shares will fall 30.1% from Thursday's close. RIVN YTD mountain Rivian, year to date Rivian stock lost nearly 1% before the bell Friday. JPMorgan lowered its rating on the stock to underweight from neutral and cut its price target to $11.
Persons: Joseph Spak, Spak, there's, Rivian, Ryan Brinkman Organizations: UBS, UBS wasn't, JPMorgan Locations: Thursday's, Rivian
Barclays analyst Dan Levy, for example, lowered his target on Tesla shares to $225 from $250, saying that a "cloudy path ahead reinforces some downside risk." Guggenheim left a sell rating and $132 price target in place. "We expect consensus estimates to come down on what will likely be interpreted as a cautious outlook with reduced visibility," wrote Citi's Itay Michaeli. Michaeli lowered Citi's Tesla price target to $224 from $255 a share, implying about 8% upside from Wednesday's close. The bank remains on the sidelines with a neutral rating on Tesla shares, awaiting a "more convincing entry point," he wrote.
Persons: Tesla, Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas, Joseph Spak, Dan Levy, Wells Fargo's Colin Langan, Emmanuel Rosner, Guggenheim, Ronald Jewsikow, Bernstein's Toni Sacconaghi, Itay, Goldman Sachs, Mark Delaney, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wall Street, UBS, Barclays, Deutsche Bank, EV Locations: Wednesday's
Analyst Ronald Epstein downgraded the stock to neutral from buy and lowered his price target to $225 from $255. The new price target implies just 5% upside from Wednesday's close. Analyst Jed Kelly has an outperform rating and $44 price target on shares, implying 14.4% upside potential since Thursday's close. Analyst Wamsi Mohan reiterated his buy rating on the stock and raised his price target to $200 from $170. Analyst Michael Sison lowered his price target to $69 from $85, implying just 7.5% upside from Wednesday's close.
Persons: Hertz, Ronald Epstein, Epstein, — Hakyung Kim, Oppenheimer, Jed Kelly, Kelly, DraftKings, aren't, Wamsi Mohan, Mohan, JPMorgan's Brian Essex, David Vogt, Essex, Vogt, Wells, DuPont Wells, , Michael Sison, Sison, Kim, Downside, Tesla, Tesla's, Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas, Jonas, Joseph Spak, inched, TSLA, Spak, Goldman Sachs, Mark Delaney, Dan Levy, Levy, Colin Langan, Langan, Toni Sacconaghi, Bernstein, JPMorgan downgrades, Ryan Brinkman, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Tesla, EV, Hertz, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Boeing, Alaska Airlines, of America, Federal Aviation Administration, FAA, IBM, UBS, PTI, bps, DuPont, DuPont de Nemours, Barclays, JPMorgan downgrades Hertz Locations: Alaska, Draftkings, Essex, Wednesday's, Wells Fargo, China, 2H24, Europe
Here’s what analysts are expecting from Tesla earnings
  + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
Analysts are largely cautious on Tesla — and the broader autos industry — ahead of the electric vehicle company's earnings on Wednesday. TSLA 1Y mountain Tesla shares over the past year. "There is continually growing evidence that the global EV market is in an unfavorable balance of supply (growing) vs. demand (slowing)." The analyst rates Tesla stock a buy with a $260 price target. Higher units likely require more price cuts," analyst Joseph Spak forecasted about Tesla's earnings in a Jan. 15 note.
Persons: Tesla, outsized, John Murphy, Murphy, Wells, Colin Langan, Langan, Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley, Adam Jonas, Jonas, Emmanuel Rosner, Rosner, Joseph Spak Organizations: Tesla, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank Deutsche Bank Research, UBS UBS, UBS Locations: China, Tuesday's, Downside, Wells Fargo, Europe
Early analyst calls on Wednesday included a downgrade to a legacy automaker and a rerating for a crypto mining stock that won big last year. "As we have parsed through our numbers, we think the road to recovery will be tougher for SEDG from the perspectives of top line, gross margins, and market share," analyst Christine Cho said. Morgan Stanley stock has slipped nearly 8% this year. The firm downgraded Ford to neutral from buy in a Tuesday note and reiterated a $12 per share price target. Ford shares have struggled this year, losing 6%.
Persons: BTIG, Wall, Joseph Spak, Spak, — Brian Evans, Barclays downgrades SolarEdge, Christine Cho, Cho, SolarEdge, JPMorgan downgrades Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley, Ted Pick, Kian Abouhossein, UBS downgrades Ford, Ford, Jim Farley's, Gregory Lewis, Lewis, MARA 1Y, MARA, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, UBS, Ford Motor, Barclays downgrades, Barclays, SolarEdge, Enphase Energy, JPMorgan, Ford, U.S, General Motors, Crypto, Marathon, Marathon Digital, BTC Locations: U.S, Tuesday's
Rivian is now at an attractive entry point for investors after a recent sell-off, according to UBS. Rivian shares are down more than 22% this month after the company said it will over $1.5 billion in convertible green bonds. "While we continue to believe 2024 quarterly production/deliveries can be lumpy owing to plant re-rating, the lower stock price de-risks some of our concerns," he wrote. Rivian shares are higher by 1.9% for the year. RIVN YTD mountain Rivian YTD chart — CNBC's Michael Bloom contributed to this report.
Persons: Rivian, Joseph Spak, Spak, Rivian's, Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS Locations: 4Q24
Solar companies — Shares of solar companies rallied Tuesday, putting the Invesco Solar ETF (TAN) on pace for its best day since March 21. The defense and aerospace companies rose Monday after the Israel-Hamas war began over the weekend. Rivian — Shares of the electric vehicle manufacturer rose more than 5% after UBS upgraded the stock to buy from neutral. Block — Shares added 5.5% after Bank of America reiterated its buy rating on the payments stock. Unity Software — The video game software company added 3.2%.
Persons: Skechers, SolarEdge, Hannon Armstrong, Baird, Rivian, Joseph Spak, Semafor, Jason Kupferberg, efruxifermin, John Riccitiello, James Whitehurst, Davidson, — CNBC's Pia Singh, Tanaya Macheel, Jesse Pound, Michelle Fox, Lisa Kailai Han, Samantha Subin Organizations: UBS, Palantir Technologies, U.S . Army, PepsiCo, LSEG, Sustainability, Bank of America, Electronic Arts, EA's FIFA, Technologies, Northrop Grumman, Hamas, Truist, Therapeutics, Unity Software, Unity, Arm, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan, Arm Holdings Locations: Israel
A member of the Mississippi National Guard receives a dose of the Moderna Covid-19 vaccine in his arm in Flowood, Mississippi. Moderna — Moderna shares rose more than 3% in early trading after the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommended updated Covid vaccine shots for all Americans ages 6 months and older. BP — Shares rose more than 1% before the market open one day after BP CEO Bernard Looney resigned a little more than three years after assuming the post. American Airlines , Spirit Airlines — American Airlines fell 3.1% after lowering its third-quarter earnings guidance, citing higher fuel prices and costs from a new labor agreement. The airline now expects earnings per share in the range of 20 cents to 30 cents, lower than prior guidance of 85 cents to 95 cents.
Persons: Joseph Spak, Spak, Bernard Looney, NIO, , Samantha Subin, Pia Singh, Sarah Min Organizations: Mississippi National Guard, Moderna, — Moderna, Centers for Disease Control, Pfizer, Apple, Apple Watch, Ford —, UBS, BP, Union, American Airlines, Spirit Airlines — American Airlines Locations: Flowood , Mississippi, U.S, NIO —
Buy these two underperforming automakers' stocks, UBS says
  + stars: | 2023-09-13 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Two major automakers have caught the eye of UBS as a new analyst takes over coverage of the sector. Analyst Joseph Spak starts his coverage of Ford and General Motors with buy ratings. Before he became the analyst covering the industry, UBS had a sell rating on Ford and neutral rating on GM. Despite adding 1.1% in Wednesday premarket trading, GM is down 0.5% year to date. F GM YTD mountain Ford and GM in 2023 — CNBC's Michael Bloom contributed to this report
Persons: Joseph Spak, Spak, , Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS, Ford, General Motors, GM Locations: overdone
Analysts are divided over the near-term and future trajectory of Tesla shares after the electric vehicle company posted mixed third-quarter results. Piper Sandler's Alexander Potter attributed much of the move to the company's gross margins — which came in at 27.9%, slightly below some analysts' expectations. To be sure, not all analysts are convinced of Tesla's near-term investment thesis. Tesla's stock is down about 37% this year and sits more than 46% off its 52-week high. "TSLA posted strong Q3 results amidst continuing materials shortages and logistics volatility.
But with interest rates rising, inflation at record highs and recession fears looming, Wall Street is closely watching third-quarter earnings results and guidance for any signs consumer demand might be weakening. Spak said third-quarter earnings "should mostly be fine," with the focus being on company commentary and guidance revisions. DealersCarMax fueled Wall Street's concerns last month after the used car dealer posted one of its biggest earnings misses ever. Citing CarMax's results, J.P. Morgan analyst Rajat Gupta said the sentiment for franchised dealers' third-quarter earnings "is the most negative we have encountered since the pandemic." Other major dealers scheduled to report third-quarter earnings include Group 1 Automotive on Oct. 26, followed by AutoNation , Asbury Automotive Group and Sonic Automotive on Oct. 27.
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